Home » Aurora Forecast

Aurora Forecast

The OVATION model is used to predict the probability of visible aurorae. Green indicates low probability, while red indicates high. The OVATION-Prime method was developed by NOAA/SWPC (Newell et al; 2009). This model was then adapted by the DIAS/TCD research group, in partnership with the UK Met Office. The model creates the probability maps by using a combination of solar wind and magnetometer data.